Connor McDavid vs Noah Ostlund
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange first player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Connor McDavid
- Evan Bouchard
- Max Jones
- Alex Formenton
- Trent Frederic
- Ryan Shea
- Isaac Howard
- Owen Michaels
- Colton Dach
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Mattias Ekholm
- Jake Walman
- Ty Emberson
- Josh Samanski
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Jason Dickinson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Sabres · CNoah OstlundChange second player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Zach Benson
- Noah Ostlund
- Jiri Kulich
- Josh Norris
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Ryan McLeod
- Peyton Krebs
- Josh Doan
- Owen Power
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Louis Crevier
- Olen Zellweger
- Beck Malenstyn
- Sam Carrick
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Justin Danforth
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 98th percentile, Noah Ostlund the 35th.
| Measure | McDavid | Ostlund |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 12 | 3 |
| Goals | 3 | 1 |
| Assists | 9 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 23:56 | 18:15 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2273 pct | 0.3590 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.073 pct | 3.786 pct |
| Goals above expected | +1.195 pct | 0.058 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 73.0%97 pct | 66.1%89 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.6394 pct | 2.9475 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.3491 pct | 1.5186 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7497 pct | +0.2464 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6698 pct | −0.0235 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0862 pct | +0.2590 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →