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Brayden McNabb vs Cale Makar

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Cale Makar is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Cale Makar sits in the 72nd percentile, Brayden McNabb the 20th.

MeasureMcNabbMakar
Scoring · NHL
Points43
Goals01
Assists42
Ice time per game18:5021:11
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0420 pct0.2172 pct
Shot attempts per game2.562 pct3.073 pct
Goals above expected−0.142 pct+0.473 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.1%59 pct68.8%94 pct
Chances for per 602.1644 pct3.3889 pct
Chances against per 601.8472 pct1.5385 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0845 pct+0.0947 pct
Creates per 60−0.0825 pct−0.0726 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1577 pct+0.1578 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →