Devils at Canadiens — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Devils at Canadiens

New Jersey Devils(42-37-3)

Montréal Canadiens(48-24-10)

Sat, Mar 27, 7:00 PM EDTTV MSGSN2, SNE·Centre Bell

Our win probability

and the three reasons

46%

Devils

to win

54%

Canadiens

Expected goals: 2.9–3.1
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL
.485vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NJD
-.033vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL
-.029vs.129GSAx / 60
Home icefavors MTL
MTL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Devils

Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/60
51% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/60
38% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/60
11% to start55 career GP

Canadiens

Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/60
62% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/60
38% to start81 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · MTL Martin St. Louis

Leaders

vs

J. Hughes
77
Points
N. Suzuki
101
A. Mantha
33
Goals
C. Caufield
51
J. Hughes
50
Assists
N. Suzuki
72

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.7627th
Goals for / game: 7th3.40; 3.0918th
Goals against / game: 16th3.06; 22.0%13th
Power play: 10th23.1%; 79.3%17th
Penalty kill: 18th78.2%; 50.5%14th
Faceoffs: 11th51.0%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 18@
Jan 13@
Mar 27@this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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