Montréal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils
TV MSGSN, Prime·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Canadiens
to win
52%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NJD-.072vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.129vs-.029GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MTL.431vs.2495v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).