New Jersey Devils at Montréal Canadiens
TV MSGSN, Prime·Centre Bell
Our win probability
and the three reasons
40%Devils
to win
60%
Canadiens
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.485vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NJD-.033vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL-.029vs.129GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors MTLMTL at home
- Back-to-backfavors NJDNJD played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDevils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
Canadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · MTL Martin St. Louis
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).