Devils at Capitals — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Devils at Capitals

New Jersey Devils(42-37-3)

Washington Capitals(43-30-9)

Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ESTTV MNMT, MSG·Capital One Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

43%

Devils

to win

57%

Capitals

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH
.485vs.516win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WSH
-.033vs.0135v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH
-.029vs.165GSAx / 60
Home icefavors WSH
WSH at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Devils

Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/60
51% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/60
38% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/60
11% to start55 career GP

Capitals

Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/60
57% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/60
40% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/60
2% to start5 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · WSH Spencer Carbery

Leaders

vs

J. Hughes
77
Points
A. Tuch
66
A. Mantha
33
Goals
A. Tuch
33
J. Hughes
50
Assists
D. Strome
39

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.7627th
Goals for / game: 15th3.18; 3.0918th
Goals against / game: 7th2.90; 22.0%13th
Power play: 25th17.8%; 79.3%17th
Penalty kill: 14th80.1%; 50.5%14th
Faceoffs: 20th49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 17@
Nov 12@
Nov 14@this game
Jan 24@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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