Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils
TV MNMT, MSGSN·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Capitals
to win
51%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.516vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WSH.013vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.165vs-.029GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCapitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6057% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6040% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/602% to start5 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WSH Spencer Carbery · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).