New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals
TV NHLN, MNMT·Capital One Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Devils
to win
56%
Capitals
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.485vs.516win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WSH-.033vs.0135v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH-.001vs.165GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NJD.418vs.3555v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WSHWSH at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDevils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6083% to start526 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6017% to start55 career GP
Capitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6057% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6040% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/602% to start5 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · WSH Spencer Carbery
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).