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New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSGSN, MSG·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Arseny Gritsyuk's goal at 0:42 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 26, NYI 15. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 14 of 15 (.933), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Evangelista (2 G), 2. Evan Rodrigues (2 A), 3. Jonas Siegenthaler (2 A).

Three stars

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11031006426
NYINYI070315115

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:13

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:42
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.29win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    1:01
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    14:48

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.12Video
    4-1
    15:21

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:47NYIScott Mayfield · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 8:06NJDDawson Mercer · Holdingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 12:11NJDDeclan Chisholm · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 17:46NYIKashawn Aitcheson · Interferencedrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

2nd

  • 15:09NJDLuke Evangelista · Trippingdrawn by Emil Heineman2 min

3rd

  • 6:18NJDEvan Rodrigues · Holdingdrawn by Calum Ritchie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNJD goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Arseny Gritsyuk, 2nd 0:42 — NJD 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.24S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.19A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.16E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.15A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.14E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.12S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.11M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.11C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.10O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.10E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.07S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.07E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.06E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.06A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.04E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.04A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Aitcheson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Aitcheson · On goal · xG 0.01I. George · Missed · xG 0.01E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 2.3 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYI
3.14 G
All situations
1 G2.3
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD63%37%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYI
26
Shots on goal
15
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
16
6
Blocked shots
18
20
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD011+110.06000—23:31
71J. SiegenthalerD022+220.14000—21:40
7D. HamiltonD101+220.19120—19:52
22B. PesceD000+100.00010—19:33
5B. DillonD000-120.05200—17:38
86J. HughesC011-120.310006017:34
47D. ChisholmD000-100.02012—16:48
63J. BrattL000-120.08300—16:12
13N. HischierC011+130.401004016:11
77L. EvangelistaR202+230.60002—14:57
81A. GritsyukR101+220.18210—14:57
91D. MercerC000+110.28002—14:37
17E. RodriguesC022+210.183025714:15
16C. BrownR000030.25000—14:05
28T. MeierR000+110.18100—13:32
12C. GlassC000010.030005012:51
39A. ManthaR000-100.00010—12:33
93A. LombardiC000000.14000—11:14
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)15141.9332.33+1.3360:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).