New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils
TV MSGSN2, MSGSN·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
45%Islanders
to win
55%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.488vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NJD-.069vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI.078vs-.029GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NJD-.034vs.2495v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersIslanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYI Peter DeBoer · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).