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Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV Oilers+·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 7:55 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were CGY 24, EDM 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected; Devon Levi stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kasperi Kapanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Devon Levi (23 saves, .958), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    K. Kapanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    D. Levi23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0501118124
EDMEDM1921415428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(1)PPG
    C. McDavid (2), E. Bouchard (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:46

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(2)
    L. Draisaitl (2), V. Podkolzin (1)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:55
  2. EDM
    R. Shea(2)
    K. Kapanen (1), R. Nugent-Hopkins (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    13:26

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Coronato(2)PPG
    M. Gridin (3), J. Farabee (2)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:06
  2. EDM
    K. Kapanen(1)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (3), M. Ekholm (1)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    10:52

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:23CGYKevin Bahl · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

2nd

  • 19:46EDMserved by V. Podkolzin · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 6:53EDMAlex Formenton · High stickingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 8:32EDMConnor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 9:36CGYSimon Nemec · Interferencedrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 9:36EDMZach Hyman · Roughingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 7:55 — EDM 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.34A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.29K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.21I. Howard · Missed · xG 0.21O. Michaels · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.15V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12O. Michaels · On goal · xG 0.10V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.06O. Michaels · On goal · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.05R. Shea · Goal · xG 0.05T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03O. Michaels · Missed · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.01I. Howard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 3.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
2.31 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY35%65%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
28
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
23
25
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71S. NemecD000010.05002—23:31
19Z. ParekhD000-320.26000—21:07
7K. BahlD000000.00102—21:00
28Z. WhitecloudD000010.03020—17:45
37Y. KuznetsovD000000.09000—17:42
27M. CoronatoR101-130.210103316:46
47C. ZaryC000000.04000—16:45
11M. BacklundC000-130.150005016:07
22R. StromeC000020.261002716:06
16M. FrostC000-120.230102315:54
17Y. SharangovichC000010.06000—15:45
92M. GridinR011010.13010—15:42
86J. FarabeeL011-120.190105015:29
55J. MiddletonD000-300.02120—15:05
29S. HonzekL000-110.19000—14:26
72M. TsyplakovR000-130.2521010013:49
43A. KlapkaR000-110.06510—13:09
76M. PospisilC000-110.105005011:29
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)28244.8573.18-0.8260:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).