Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers
TV SN+, TVAS·Rogers Place
Our win probability
and the three reasons
39%Flames
to win
61%
Oilers
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM.481vs.504win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM-.127vs.0405v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.016vs.037GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors EDM-.091vs.4755v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors EDMEDM at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
Oilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CGY Ryan Huska · EDM Mike Babcock
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).