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Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-0. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Cooley's goal at 10:35 of the first period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 68% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 5.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 25, UTA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 3.3 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Logan Cooley (1 G), 3. Jack McBain (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Cooley1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    J. McBain1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL080908025
UTAUTA212011012235

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:38
  2. UTA
    L. Cooley(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.25win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:35

Penalties

COL 18 PIM·UTA 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:33COLTristen Nielsen · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 8:57COLTaylor Makar · Roughingdrawn by Dmitri Simashev2 min
  • 10:35COLWyatt Aamodt · Hookingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 16:22UTALawson Crouse · Hookingdrawn by Tristen Nielsen2 min
  • 19:02COLNikita Prishchepov · Hookingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 5:21COLserved by A. Beckman · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:18COLAlex Gagne · Cross checkingdrawn by Daniil But2 min
  • 15:40UTAClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 17:06UTAserved by A. Lee · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:47UTALogan Cooley · Interferencedrawn by Maros Jedlicka2 min
  • 13:22COLAdam Beckman · High sticking double minordrawn by Daniil But4 min
  • 17:45COLT.J. Hughes · Slashingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCOL goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Cooley, 1st 10:35 — UTA 68% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.29L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.25L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.24L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.22L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.20D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.19M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.15L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.15M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.14D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.14L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.13D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.13K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.12D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.12J. McBain · Goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.09J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.08D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.07M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.04M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simashev · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA2 G · 5.3 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsUTA
2.10 G
All situations
2 G5.3
1.10 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.90 G
Power play
1 G2.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL11%89%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 5.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsUTA
25
Shots on goal
35
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/4
Power play
1/9
18
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
10N. RoyC000010.050003319:46
84B. BurnsD000-130.08000—19:00
54G. BrindleyC000010.1510010018:12
18V. HinostrozaC000020.12100017:49
67K. MiddletonD000000.05210—17:42
13T. HughesR000-120.170126417:14
22F. LysellR000-120.29100—16:32
28A. GagneD000000.00302—16:25
5W. AamodtD000020.01012—16:07
34A. BeckmanL000020.451246315:58
42J. MansonD000010.03320—15:53
57T. NielsenC000-120.11312—15:50
44G. StjernbergD000030.11120—15:38
55M. JedlickaC000010.03000015:24
85N. PrishchepovC000000.000022913:54
2S. BehrensD000-110.18010—13:19
14M. DiMarsicoC000020.25010—12:30
16T. MakarL000000.00002—05:09
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)35332.9435.30+3.3060:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).