Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche
TV ESPN+, HULU·Ball Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
39%Mammoth
to win
61%
Avalanche
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.500vs.551win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.093vs.2425v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL.030vs.096GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors COLCOL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
Avalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · COL Jared Bednar
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).