Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, ALT·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Avalanche
to win
48%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.551vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.242vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL.096vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.337vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersAvalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: COL Jared Bednar · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).