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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalBall Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Jets scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Hughes's goal at 19:49 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 26, COL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 28 of 32 (.875); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. T.J. Hughes (3 G, 1 A), 2. Jaden Schwartz (1 G, 2 A), 3. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    T. Hughes3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Schwartz1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    V. Namestnikov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1911007226
COLCOL07314212533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(1)PPG
    N. Pionk (1), V. Namestnikov (2)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:15

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Schwartz(1)
    T. Hughes (2), F. Svechkov (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:07
  2. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(1)
    N. Niederreiter (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:36
  3. COL
    T. Hughes(1)
    N. Kadri (2), J. Schwartz (1)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    18:28
  4. COL
    T. Hughes(2)
    B. Kulak (2), A. Lehkonen (2)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    19:49

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(1)
    N. MacKinnon (1), D. Toews (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    15:25
  2. COL
    T. Hughes(3)EN
    N. Kadri (3), J. Schwartz (2)
    wristxG 0.55
    2-5
    19:38

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:24COLNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 9:58WPGNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
  • 17:14COLGavin Brindley · Interferencedrawn by Isak Rosen2 min
  • 17:22WPGNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min

2nd

  • 1:48COLBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 11:56COLserved by T.J. Hughes · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 11:29WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: T.J. Hughes, 2nd 19:49 — COL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.55J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.32G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.26T. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.26M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.24B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.18C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.17T. Makar · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.14B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.14J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.09F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.09W. Aamodt · On goal · xG 0.09M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.03T. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02W. Aamodt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01W. Aamodt · Missed · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 4.3 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
2.82 G
All situations
4 G4.3
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G3.5
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG35%65%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 3.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
26
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. DeMeloD000-300.01420—22:47
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.270005422:30
81K. ConnorL000-130.15110—22:27
44J. MorrisseyD000-130.29012—21:25
4N. PionkD011000.00000—21:13
91C. PerfettiC000-100.00000019:50
54D. SambergD000-130.09110—19:27
38M. FerraroD000-110.01330—19:25
7V. NamestnikovC112020.281004315:08
13G. VilardiC000-230.460006714:29
36M. BarronC000-110.0611010014:26
17A. LowryC000-110.173005813:43
62N. NiederreiterR112-140.80204—12:52
61V. BjörckC000-210.111002912:15
93B. LambertC000-110.06000—12:13
27I. RosenR000-110.01000—11:15
77T. BauerD000-200.00310—10:30
9A. IafalloL000-110.0022010009:53
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)32284.8753.71-0.2958:12

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).