Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets
TV ALT, TSN3·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
56%Avalanche
to win
44%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 3.2–2.8
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.551vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.242vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.096vs.117GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors COL.337vs.0275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersAvalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: COL Jared Bednar · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).