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Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

TV ALT, TVAS·Ball Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons
WPG37%
Jets
to win
63%COL
Avalanche
Expected goals
WPG 2.6–3.4 COL
Goes to overtime
21%
← favors WPGfavors COL →
  • Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL
    .491vs.551win rate (OT = tie)
  • Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL
    -.048vs.2425v5 xG diff / 60
  • Goaltending12% of the signaleven
    .117vs.096GSAx / 60
  • Projected lineupsfavors COL
    .027vs.3375v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
  • Home icefavors COL
    COL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of

Goaltending

projected starters
WPGJets
COLAvalanche

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · COL Jared Bednar

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32
WPGCOL
2.7925th
Goals for / game
1st3.63
3.1221st
Goals against / game
1st2.40
18.5%24th
Power play
27th17.1%
77.6%21st
Penalty kill
1st84.6%
51.1%9th
Faceoffs
8th51.2%

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).