Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Coronato's goal at 17:30 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 1.1; shots on goal were VAN 9, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 8 of 9 (.889). Three stars: 1. Zayne Parekh (2 A), 2. Joel Farabee (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Coronato (1 G).
Three stars
- ★Z. Parekh2 A

- ★★J. Farabee1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Coronato1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-115:00
0-217:30
0-318:58
3rd period
1-36:22
Penalties
1st
- 8:08
Morgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kudryavtsev2 min
- 15:45
Adam Novotny · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
2nd
- 6:04
Maxim Tsyplakov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Aatu Räty2 min
- 6:22
Tom Willander · Interferencedrawn by Samuel Honzek2 min
- 14:18
Benjamin Berard · Interferencedrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
3rd
- 12:50
Kevin Bahl · Boardingdrawn by Benjamin Berard2 min
- 16:56
Ilya Safonov · Hookingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Matt Coronato, 2nd 17:30 — 74% → 90%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.11 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.6
- 0.91 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.9
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.10 – 3.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 9
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 30
- Hits
- 14
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 4
- 14
- Giveaways
- 5
- 4
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
first meetingData: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















