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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Coronato's goal at 17:30 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 1.1; shots on goal were VAN 9, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 8 of 9 (.889). Three stars: 1. Zayne Parekh (2 A), 2. Joel Farabee (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Coronato (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    Z. Parekh2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Farabee1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN04021319
CGYCGY0931904332

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:00
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:30
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.47win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:58

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.21win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:22

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:08CGYMorgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kudryavtsev2 min
  • 15:45VANAdam Novotny · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min

2nd

  • 6:04CGYMaxim Tsyplakov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Aatu Räty2 min
  • 6:22VANTom Willander · Interferencedrawn by Samuel Honzek2 min
  • 14:18VANBenjamin Berard · Interferencedrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

3rd

  • 12:50CGYKevin Bahl · Boardingdrawn by Benjamin Berard2 min
  • 16:56VANIlya Safonov · Hookingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Coronato, 2nd 17:30 — CGY 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Honzek · Goal · xG 0.47A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.27J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.18M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.17R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.12M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.11A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.09A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.07A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.07M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.07M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.06C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Parekh · Missed · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.03C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.03A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.01M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.00S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.6 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
1.11 G
All situations
3 G3.6
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN11%89%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.10 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
9
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
14
23
Blocked shots
4
14
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90V. ManciniD000000.00250—21:51
5T. WillanderD000000.00022—21:29
48J. SchuldtD000000.00120—21:05
86B. CootesC011000.000004019:36
13A. BainsL101010.292205019:20
59K. KudryavtsevD000-110.02030—17:59
39T. MuellerC000-110.172006017:31
55G. BriseboisD000000.00030—17:18
54A. RätyC000-120.270007516:09
34C. ClaytonD000-100.00310—16:07
68R. PattersonC000+110.052202015:53
83M. StienburgC000010.05110—15:24
15A. NovotnyL000-110.15412—13:48
24I. SafonovC000010.03602013:26
64T. Fix-WolanskyR000000.0111010013:03
79B. BerardL000000.00102—12:24
49Y. BryzgalovL000-100.00400—10:40
81B. RogowskiC000000.061003310:15
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)32293.9063.58+0.5860:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).