Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames
TV SN, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome
Our win probability
and the three reasons
35%Canucks
to win
65%
Flames
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.5
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CGY.439vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CGY-.225vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY-.089vs.016GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CGY-1.04vs-.0915v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CGYCGY at home
- Back-to-backfavors VANVAN played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Flames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · CGY Ryan Huska
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).