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Blues at Stars
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Dallas Stars
▸2
FinalAmerican Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nils Lundkvist's goal at 5:57 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 79% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.4 to 4.0; shots on goal were STL 31, DAL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (30 saves, .968), 2. Thomas Harley (1 G), 3. Nils Lundkvist (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    C. DeSmith30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Harley1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    N. Lundkvist1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL08013110131
DALDAL1801019227

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Harley(1)
    J. Robertson (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:15

3rd period

  1. DAL
    N. Lundkvist(1)
    M. Rantanen (1), D. Hryckowian (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:57
  2. STL
    J. Berggren(1)
    O. Stenberg (1)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:22

Penalties

STL 18 PIM·DAL 18 PIM

1st

  • 1:27DALJack Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Peterson5 min
  • 1:27STLDylan Peterson · Fightingdrawn by Jack Anderson5 min
  • 2:22STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 15:31DALJustin Hryckowian · Holdingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

2nd

  • 7:18DALKyle Burroughs · Boardingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min
  • 7:18STLDylan Holloway · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs5 min
  • 7:18DALKyle Burroughs · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Holloway5 min
  • 7:37DALRoope Hintz · Trippingdrawn by Aleksanteri Kaskimaki2 min
  • 8:26DALNils Lundkvist · Slashingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
  • 11:46STLOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 16:00STLDillon Dube · High stickingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

3rd

  • 9:04STLColin Ralph · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Nils Lundkvist, 3rd 5:57 — DAL 79% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.66J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.47R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.25W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.21W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.20R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.19D. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.18W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.18E. Hemming · On goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.15A. Minnetian · On goal · xG 0.15A. Shlaine · On goal · xG 0.14N. Lundkvist · Goal · xG 0.14J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.13D. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.13W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08D. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.07A. Martino · Missed · xG 0.07W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.05T. Harley · Goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.04T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seminoff · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seminoff · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.02W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01T. Taylor · On goal · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · Missed · xG 0.00J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Taylor · On goal · xG 0.00K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 4.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
4.01 G
All situations
2 G4.4
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.70 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL53%47%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.85 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
31
Shots on goal
27
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/4
Power play
0/4
18
Penalty minutes
18
22
Hits
19
7
Blocked shots
16
19
Giveaways
26
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD000-230.10010—27:09
23L. MaillouxD000-230.08100—22:46
18R. ThomasC000030.550123322:10
36A. JiricekD000+120.03100—21:01
21J. SnuggerudR000040.68200—19:48
81D. HollowayL000040.37115—16:53
42Q. BurnsD000+120.03000—16:34
48A. KoromyslovD000000.09220—15:18
83M. McTavishC000030.350005814:48
41A. KaskimakiC000-120.23200—14:41
29J. BerggrenR101020.89000—14:40
65D. DubeC000-100.071026714:09
51C. RalphD000000.00102—13:21
32D. PetersonC000010.18015012:21
70O. SundqvistC000000.002025012:03
28O. StenbergC011000.07400012:01
52Z. DeanC000-100.002004011:53
26N. WalkerL000020.24310—11:49
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer18171.9442.61+1.6140:00
35G. Romanov(L)981.8891.10+0.1018:35

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).