St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars
TV TNT, truTV·American Airlines Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Blues
to win
57%
Stars
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.503vs.527win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL.049vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL-.062vs.109GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors DALDAL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6065% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6032% to start115 career GP
Georgii Romanov-0.23 GSAx/603% to start10 career GP
Stars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · DAL Glen Gulutzan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).