Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues
TV ESPN, SN·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Stars
to win
49%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.527vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL.038vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL.109vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors DAL.390vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
- Back-to-backfavors DALDAL and STL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersStars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DAL Glen Gulutzan · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).