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Mammoth at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV Utah16·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gavin Brindley's goal at 1:52 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were UTA 24, COL 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Sebastian Cossa stopped 11 of 12 (.917); Ilya Nabokov stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gavin Brindley (1 G, 1 A), 2. Beckett Hamilton (1 G), 3. Taylor Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Brindley1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    B. Hamilton1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    T. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0317014124
COLCOL061635417

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    B. Hamilton(1)
    M. Necas (1)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:54
  2. UTA
    Y. Borikov(1)
    G. Smith (1), A. Duda (1)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:27

3rd period

  1. COL
    G. Brindley(1)
    N. Kadri (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:52
  2. COL
    B. Nelson(1)PPG
    A. Lehkonen (1), D. Toews (1)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:27
  3. COL
    T. Makar(1)
    G. Brindley (1), T. Hughes (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:27

Penalties

UTA 14 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:45UTAJohn Marino · Cross checkingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 15:00UTAJohn Marino · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 5:43COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Gregor Biber2 min
  • 6:42UTAVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

3rd

  • 1:52UTAserved by M. Carcone · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 5:56UTAVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 13:46COLNikita Prishchepov · Roughingdrawn by Caleb Desnoyers2 min
  • 13:46UTAMaveric Lamoureux · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Prishchepov2 min
  • 13:46COLNikita Prishchepov · Roughingdrawn by Maveric Lamoureux2 min
  • 13:46COLDevon Toews · Roughingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 13:46UTAMichael Carcone · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Prishchepov2 min
  • 15:14COLTaylor Makar · High stickingdrawn by Caleb Desnoyers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalUTA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gavin Brindley, 3rd 1:52 — COL 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.26T. Makar · On goal · xG 0.20G. Brindley · Goal · xG 0.17G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.16M. DiMarsico · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.12B. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.11T. Makar · Goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.05D. Fensore · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fensore · Missed · xG 0.01A. Gagne · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gagne · On goal · xG 0.00N. Prishchepov · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 2.1 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCOL
2.81 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA62%38%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCOL
24
Shots on goal
17
68%
Faceoffs
32%
0/3
Power play
1/5
14
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
3
18
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD000020.03014—24:26
84A. DudaD011+100.12110—22:44
67L. CrouseL000-140.80310—19:24
57N. DeSimoneD000-120.08010—19:15
10M. LamoureuxD000-110.05122—19:09
16V. TrocheckC000-220.252246718:24
50D. ButL000-100.18000—16:33
56K. YamamotoR000010.00110—15:38
47M. PšeničkaD000-100.03010—15:38
94G. BiberD000-110.00020—14:58
93G. SmithC011040.371007814:53
86J. RoyR000010.13200—13:48
53M. CarconeL000-110.14202—13:46
65Y. BorikovR101+120.35400—12:57
62B. McCartneyL000-120.14110—12:39
18C. DesnoyersC000000.003106712:37
13B. TanevL000-100.00610—12:24
21K. RooneyC000-110.101107112:12
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Cossa12111.9171.40+0.4040:00
30M. Hrabal(L)523.4000.67-2.3320:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).