Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Becker's goal at 18:29 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 28, STL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Rémi Poirier stopped 11 of 12 (.917); Jordan Binnington stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Becker (1 G), 2. Arttu Hyry (1 G), 3. Aleksanteri Kaskimaki (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Becker1 G

- ★★A. Hyry1 G

- ★★★A. Kaskimaki1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-00:16
2nd period
1-113:30
2-118:29
Penalties
1st
- 8:08
Aleksanteri Kaskimaki · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Vaněček2 min
- 15:17
Justin Carbonneau · Kneeingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min
- 15:17
Jack Becker · Fightingdrawn by Quinton Burns5 min
- 15:17
Quinton Burns · Fightingdrawn by Jack Becker5 min
2nd
- 1:01
Kyle Capobianco · Trippingdrawn by Zach Dean2 min
- 3:43
Ross Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Vaněček2 min
- 19:01
Kyle Capobianco · Holdingdrawn by Justin Carbonneau2 min
3rd
- 1:47
Kyle Burroughs · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Peterson2 min
- 1:47
Kyle Burroughs · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Peterson5 min
- 1:47
Dylan Peterson · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs5 min
- 13:20
Ross Johnston · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Halverson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jack Becker, 2nd 18:29 — 47% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.12 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.6
- 1.22 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.1
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.57
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/3
- 16
- Penalty minutes
- 18
- 18
- Hits
- 29
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 14
- Giveaways
- 18
- 4
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
first meetingData: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















