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Avalanche at Golden Knights
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸2
FinalTV ESPN, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 4:42 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 21, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (1 G), 2. Cole Smith (1 G), 3. Carter Hart (20 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Smith1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Hart20 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL080617121
VGKVGK1901116226

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(5)
    B. McNabb (3), S. Theodore (7)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:42

3rd period

  1. VGK
    C. Smith(3)
    D. Coghlan (2), N. Dowd (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:15
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(6)
    M. Necas (12), N. Kadri (6)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:57

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:56COLJosh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

2nd

  • 2:51VGKCole Smith · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 13:43COLGabriel Landeskog · Cross checkingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCOL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 1st 4:42 — VGK 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.35M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.30T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.13N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.11M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.11P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.09C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.00B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVGK
1.91 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL35%65%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVGK
21
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000040.18010—27:30
7D. ToewsD000-130.32020—24:31
29N. MacKinnonC000+120.211003822:10
88M. NecasC011+100.16100020:06
92G. LandeskogL101+120.093126319:48
11B. NelsonC000030.341104419:18
91N. KadriC011000.1220010018:42
84B. BurnsD000000.00320—18:39
62A. LehkonenL000010.04000—17:30
27B. KulakD000-100.00200—16:37
42J. MansonD000-100.00712—14:58
70S. MalinskiD000020.05020—14:16
17P. KellyC000020.03300011:48
10N. RoyC000-210.311002511:39
25L. O'ConnorR000-100.00010—11:05
18J. DruryC000000.001004410:24
94J. KivirantaL000000.00300—10:15
20R. ColtonC000-110.00200008:50
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(L)26242.9232.67+0.6757:54

Series

VGK leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).