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Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ESPN, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 11:22 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 25, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Ivan Barbashev (2 G, 1 A), 2. Carter Hart (30 saves, .968), 3. Jack Eichel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Hart30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0120439325
COLCOL111010010131

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:59

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +30 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:15
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:22
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.59win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:57

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

2nd

  • 1:33COLMartin Necas · Slashingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 1:33COLMartin Necas · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 2:19VGKJack Eichel · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 13:31COLNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 18:42VGKShea Theodore · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 1:58VGKShea Theodore · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 4:48COLBrent Burns · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 3rd 11:22 — VGK 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.19R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.15D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
3.12 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK45%55%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD011+210.01000—26:41
27S. TheodoreD000-110.04104—25:32
15N. HanifinD000+210.01030—24:01
93M. MarnerR000041.31010—21:02
9J. EichelC112+320.171223519:06
16P. DorofeyevR022+120.10010—17:56
71W. KarlssonC000-120.021005017:42
21B. HowdenC000-110.06110017:09
52D. CoghlanD000+110.02020—16:42
49I. BarbashevL213+330.62700—16:15
10C. SissonsC000+110.02200013:43
48T. HertlC000010.153106013:23
26N. DowdC000010.102002213:03
3B. McNabbD000010.19220—12:13
6K. KorczakD000000.00120—11:13
22C. SmithR000010.03310—09:48
20B. SaadL000020.30100—09:18
55K. KolesarR000000.00800—09:13
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)31301.9682.21+1.2160:00

Series

VGK leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).