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Hurricanes at Senators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV TBS, truTV·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Stankoven's goal at 9:10 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.1 to 3.3; shots on goal were CAR 30, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (25 saves, .926), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    F. Andersen25 saves, .926
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0719314430
OTTOTT0811019227

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(2)
    M. Jankowski (1), E. Robinson (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:15
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(3)PPG
    T. Stützle (1), C. Yakemchuk (1)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:08

3rd period

  1. CAR
    L. Stankoven(4)PPG
    K. Miller (3), T. Hall (5)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:10
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(2)EN
    S. Jarvis (1), S. Walker (1)
    wristxG 0.68win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:38
  3. OTT
    D. Cozens(2)
    D. Batherson (1), C. Yakemchuk (2)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:11
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(3)EN
    S. Jarvis (2), J. Chatfield (1)
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:45

Penalties

CAR 22 PIM·OTT 14 PIM

1st

  • 6:11OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 7:30CARSean Walker · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 8:57CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 14:31OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

2nd

  • 4:35CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 4:35CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 4:35OTTJordan Spence · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 6:12OTTRidly Greig · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 9:50CARNicolas Deslauriers · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:50CARNicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:50OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 10:38CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 16:33CARSean Walker · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:21CARSean Walker · Boardingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 19:56CAREric Robinson · High stickingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

3rd

  • 4:47OTTThomas Chabot · Slashingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 8:20OTTTyler Kleven · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 13:54CARserved by T. Hall · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCAR goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Stankoven, 3rd 9:10 — CAR 53% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.52T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.25C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.23C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.23L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.17D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.15D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.15T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.15D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.14D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.11D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.10N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.10C. Yakemchuk · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08C. Yakemchuk · On goal · xG 0.07T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Yakemchuk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.00J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsOTT
5.12 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
1.01 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.80 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR56%44%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsOTT
30
Shots on goal
27
34%
Faceoffs
66%
1/5
Power play
1/9
22
Penalty minutes
14
33
Hits
37
13
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+120.09010—26:22
5J. ChatfieldD011+120.03200—23:51
20S. AhoC202+151.622023621:27
19K. MillerD011+110.05110—21:16
24S. JarvisR022+110.12110—19:47
11J. StaalC000030.554023819:17
26S. WalkerD011+110.57006—18:40
4S. GostisbehereD000000.08000—17:45
53J. BlakeR000010.08000—17:27
37A. SvechnikovR000+130.35614—16:15
48J. MartinookL000000.27330—15:24
22L. StankovenC101030.361003114:37
71T. HallL112+120.27000—13:54
77M. JankowskiL011+110.101205012:28
28W. CarrierL000010.03610—10:03
50E. RobinsonL011+120.40102—06:38
21A. NikishinD000010.05120—05:16
44N. DeslauriersL000010.10414—03:09
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)27252.9263.32+1.3259:49

Series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).