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Senators at Hurricanes
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/2OTTV ESPN2, FDSNSO·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in double overtime, Jordan Martinook scoring at 13:53. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 13:53 of the second overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — OTT 4.3, CAR 4.5; shots on goal were OTT 39, CAR 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 46 of 49 (.939), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 2. Logan Stankoven (1 G), 3. Frederik Andersen (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
OTTOTT0927080807239
CARCAR114117050716349

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    L. Stankoven(2)PPG
    T. Hall (2), J. Blake (3)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:31

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(1)
    J. Staal (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:50
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(1)
    J. Sanderson (1)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:47
  3. OTT
    D. Cozens(1)
    R. Greig (1), J. Sanderson (2)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:40

2OT overtime

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(1)
    N. Ehlers (1), K. Miller (1)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:53

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:14OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 8:49CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 15:22CARAndrei Svechnikov · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 5:49CARSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 12:53CARJackson Blake · Roughingdrawn by Dennis Gilbert2 min
  • 12:53OTTDennis Gilbert · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

OT

  • 16:49OTTWarren Foegele · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jordan Martinook0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalOTT goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2OT 13:53 — CAR 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.34J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.23T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.21T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.20L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.19J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.13J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.08J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.03E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.03J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.5 xG · 83 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCAR
4.32 G
All situations
3 G4.5
4.12 G
Even strength
2 G3.7
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 154 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT47%53%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.18 – 4.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCAR
39
Shots on goal
49
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/3
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
52
Hits
43
26
Blocked shots
27
29
Giveaways
31
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD022+220.09350—43:06
72T. ChabotD000-210.19040—40:50
10J. SpenceD000030.15330—39:01
33N. MatinpaloD000+100.00010—31:03
18T. StützleC000-120.902006729:05
7B. TkachukL000-260.481127828:17
12S. PintoC000-130.402306728:17
19D. BathersonR101030.23500—27:33
24D. CozensC101+130.114008027:25
71R. GreigC011+140.426504327:09
28C. GirouxR000+130.494005927:04
22M. AmadioR000020.32200—24:43
37W. FoegeleL000020.11100—21:34
20F. ZetterlundL000020.05200—15:27
6D. GilbertD000000.00712—15:24
21N. CousinsC000000.0070010015:04
60L. ThomsonD000010.01020—13:01
89L. EllerC000020.333106712:24
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)49463.9394.46+1.4693:34

Series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).