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Senators at Hurricanes
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV ESPN, FDSNSO·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 2-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Stankoven's goal at 2:11 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 22, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Logan Stankoven (1 G, 1 A), 3. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    F. Andersen22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0504013022
CARCAR0718114229

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake (1), T. Hall (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:11

3rd period

  1. CAR
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:15

Penalties

OTT 21 PIM·CAR 15 PIM

1st

  • 0:03OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Staal5 min
  • 0:03CARJordan Staal · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 13:34CARJackson Blake · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 8:58OTTserved by F. Zetterlund · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:12OTTJake Sanderson · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 15:19CARK'Andre Miller · Slashingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

3rd

  • 2:40CARJalen Chatfield · Interferencedrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 7:55OTTNick Cousins · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
  • 11:07OTTFabian Zetterlund · Slashingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 11:52OTTShane Pinto · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 17:25CARJalen Chatfield · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:51OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 19:51CARJordan Staal · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 20:00OTTDennis Gilbert · Cross checkingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min
  • 20:00OTTDennis Gilbert · Cross checkingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalOTT goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Stankoven, 2nd 2:11 — CAR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.31A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.24J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.23L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.19T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.19N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.18N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.17L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.13L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.11T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 4.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCAR
2.20 G
All situations
2 G4.0
0.90 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.30 G
Power play
0 G1.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT23%77%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
29
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/5
21
Penalty minutes
15
39
Hits
57
13
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000020.18232—27:25
72T. ChabotD000-210.02130—26:39
10J. SpenceD000-100.01110—23:40
18T. StützleC000040.241006723:05
24D. CozensC000020.355106418:58
28C. GirouxR000-120.121007118:15
7B. TkachukL000020.495072017:41
19D. BathersonR000030.54400—17:13
33N. MatinpaloD000-100.00100—17:08
12S. PintoC000-220.133223316:51
22M. AmadioR000-110.00120—15:07
71R. GreigC000010.081004014:47
21N. CousinsC000000.00102011:49
20F. ZetterlundL000-100.00302—11:26
37W. FoegeleL000-120.03200—09:48
6D. GilbertD000000.00414—08:26
2A. ZubD000000.00300—07:44
89L. EllerC000000.000007807:09
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)29272.9313.97+1.9756:49

Series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).