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Ducks at Predators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
Nashville Predators
4
FinalTV FDSNSO, Victory+·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Nashville Predators 5-4. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Predators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 17:06 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 62% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 40, NSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 35 of 40 (.875). Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (2 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 3. Luke Evangelista (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA210114216540
NSHNSH292804421

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    C. Gauthier(41)
    R. Poehling (25), J. Carlson (45)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:36
  2. NSH
    S. Stamkos(41)
    C. O'Hara (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:09
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(39)PPG
    R. Ufko (8), S. Stamkos (24)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:55
  4. ANA
    J. LaCombe(10)
    J. Trouba (25), M. McTavish (24)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:39

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Killorn(15)
    J. Carlson (46), M. Granlund (20)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:33
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(40)
    L. Evangelista (43), R. Ufko (9)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:37
  3. NSH
    S. Stamkos(42)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (49), L. Evangelista (44)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-4
    15:23

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Luneau(1)
    M. Granlund (21), J. Viel (7)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +26 ptsVideo
    4-4
    4:17
  2. ANA
    T. Terry(19)PPG
    M. Granlund (22), L. Carlsson (38)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +30 ptsVideo
    5-4
    17:06

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·NSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 14:47ANACutter Gauthier · Holdingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min

2nd

  • 0:32NSHBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 6:15NSHReid Schaefer · Trippingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
  • 14:53ANAJohn Carlson · Slashingdrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min
  • 19:38ANAJeffrey Viel · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min

3rd

  • 6:09NSHRyan Ufko · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 10:58NSHFedor Svechkov · Trippingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
  • 16:03NSHTyson Jost · High sticking double minordrawn by Troy Terry4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalANA goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, 3rd 17:06 — ANA 62% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.22F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.18L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.14R. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.11M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. O'Hara · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kemell · On goal · xG 0.03O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 1.9 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNSH
4.75 G
All situations
4 G1.9
2.84 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.91 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA87%13%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.48 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNSH
40
Shots on goal
21
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/6
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
10
11
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD101060.29000—26:27
65J. TroubaD011-100.02210—22:56
74J. CarlsonD022+100.00102—20:24
17A. KillornL101+130.430105019:39
91L. CarlssonC011070.860104318:32
61C. GauthierL101+160.59202—18:19
19T. TerryR101040.75000—18:15
64M. GranlundC033+130.440104218:08
25R. PoehlingC011+120.091005317:36
20C. KreiderL000010.43200—16:42
23M. McTavishC011+130.121002516:23
98P. MintyukovD000000.00020—15:47
60T. HindsD000+210.04330—13:41
28J. VielL011+210.10002—11:58
67T. LuneauD101+220.31110—11:37
45B. SenneckeR000-110.24000—10:58
42T. WasheC000000.003007510:30
3I. MooreD000000.00010—08:34
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33V. Husso(W)21174.8101.87-2.1359:56

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).