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Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FDSNSO, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Haula's goal at 7:07 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 25, ANA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 43 of 43 (1.000), 4.2 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Justus Annunen (43 saves, 1.000), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (2 A), 3. Brady Skjei (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Annunen43 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    B. Skjei1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0531426525
ANAANA012014017043

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:07
  2. NSH
    R. Josi (41), R. O'Reilly (46)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:26
  3. NSH
    B. Skjei(3)SHG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    19:00

3rd period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.21win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-0
    9:51
  2. NSH
    T. Jost (8), R. Ufko (5)
    snapxG 0.19Video
    5-0
    15:07

Penalties

NSH 12 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:48NSHRyan Ufko · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 15:41NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

2nd

  • 10:01ANAChris Kreider · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 15:44NSHReid Schaefer · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 17:22NSHTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 19:44ANAJeffrey Viel · Elbowingdrawn by Justus Annunen2 min
  • 19:44ANAJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min

3rd

  • 12:59ANABeckett Sennecke · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 15:24NSHJustus Annunen · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 15:59NSHBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNSH goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Erik Haula, 2nd 7:07 — NSH 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.21C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.19M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.18T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.17L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.16O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.15M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.15T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.14B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.14A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.13J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.12A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.12B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.10L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.08J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.08R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hinds · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.04T. Washe · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hinds · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.00J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA0 G · 4.2 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsANA
2.85 G
All situations
0 G4.2
2.03 G
Even strength
0 G3.0
0.61 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH30%70%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 4.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsANA
25
Shots on goal
43
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
9
16
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD101+210.18022—23:19
48N. PerbixD011+220.01030—22:12
83A. WilsbyD011+210.07010—21:47
90R. O'ReillyC022+120.171104220:55
20J. BarronD000+100.00120—17:33
9F. ForsbergL101020.24012—16:21
91S. StamkosC000030.591008216:03
17T. JostC011+110.01102015:50
85R. UfkoD011010.21312—15:35
59R. JosiD011+120.11000—15:31
56E. HaulaL112+220.130304215:24
81J. MarchessaultR000020.31100—14:52
71M. WoodR000020.130002714:44
68Z. L'HeureuxL101+210.23000—13:44
77L. EvangelistaR000010.04000—12:59
25J. KemellR022+400.13220—12:24
40F. SvechkovC101+120.260006010:55
49R. SchaeferL000000.00102—08:09
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(W)434301.0004.17+4.1759:43

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).