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Ducks at Predators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV FDSNSO, Victory+·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cutter Gauthier's goal at 15:07 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 32, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ross Johnston (1 G, 2 A), 2. Cutter Gauthier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyson Jost (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Johnston1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    T. Jost1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11331217532
NSHNSH11111502228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Johnston(1)
    R. Gudas (2), P. Mintyukov (2)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:52
  2. NSH
    T. Jost(1)
    S. Stastney (1), J. Barron (1)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:29

2nd period

  1. ANA
    L. Carlsson(3)
    J. Trouba (1), C. Gauthier (1)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:23
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(2)
    R. Josi (4), R. O'Reilly (2)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:39
  3. ANA
    C. Gauthier(4)
    J. Trouba (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:07
  4. ANA
    B. Sennecke(3)
    M. McTavish (5), R. Johnston (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:59

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(1)
    R. Poehling (1), R. Johnston (2)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-2
    11:40

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·NSH 20 PIM

1st

  • 16:09NSHRoman Josi · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

2nd

  • 7:05NSHErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 7:42NSHAdam Wilsby · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 9:42ANACutter Gauthier · Interferencedrawn by Michael McCarron2 min

3rd

  • 2:55NSHAdam Wilsby · Trippingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 13:31ANARoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 13:31NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 14:26NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Fightingdrawn by Frank Vatrano5 min
  • 14:26ANAFrank Vatrano · Fightingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt5 min
  • 18:07NSHCole Smith · Trippingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalANA goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Cutter Gauthier, 2nd 15:07 — ANA 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.13M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.12C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.06B. Martin · On goal · xG 0.06M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.05M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.05F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.04B. Martin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02B. Martin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.00N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 1.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNSH
4.05 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.15 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.90 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA84%16%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.00 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/5
Power play
0/1
12
Penalty minutes
20
23
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000010.24020—23:04
51O. ZellwegerD000+330.13000—20:44
65J. TroubaD022+420.05110—19:55
14D. HellesonD000-120.06110—19:51
64M. GranlundC000-130.490005318:20
91L. CarlssonC101+230.470005018:07
19T. TerryR101030.53010—18:05
23M. McTavishC011010.412204017:12
45B. SenneckeR101020.17200—17:05
13N. NesterenkoC000-130.18210016:29
61C. GauthierL112+220.280023315:46
17A. KillornL000+210.300005015:29
7R. GudasD011020.02310—15:19
77F. VatranoR000-120.3760510015:03
98P. MintyukovD011000.00100—14:58
12S. ColangeloR000+100.05100—12:11
25R. PoehlingC011+210.020007512:00
44R. JohnstonL123+310.2940510008:53
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)28262.9291.78-0.2259:29

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).