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Jets at Mammoth
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV Utah16, TSN3·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-3. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 17:09 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 12% to 26%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 4.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 24, UTA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 31 of 35 (.886); Karel Vejmelka stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Nick Schmaltz (2 G), 2. Logan Cooley (1 G, 1 A), 3. JJ Peterka (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz2 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Cooley1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    J. Peterka1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0616212324
UTAUTA11411537536

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(24)
    N. Schmidt (17)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:05

2nd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(32)PPG
    M. Sergachev (49), D. Guenther (33)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:54
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(39)PPG
    G. Vilardi (38), M. Scheifele (67)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:09

3rd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(33)PPG
    L. Cooley (19), C. Keller (60)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:16
  2. UTA
    J. Peterka(25)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:42
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(36)
    K. Connor (53), G. Vilardi (39)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:36
  4. WPG
    I. Rosen(6)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:23
  5. UTA
    A. Kerfoot(7)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:36

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:43UTAMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Cole Koepke2 min
  • 16:03WPGAdam Lowry · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

2nd

  • 4:13WPGDylan DeMelo · High stickingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 12:15WPGBrayden Yager · Hookingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 16:11UTALawson Crouse · Holdingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 18:06WPGBrad Lambert · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 6:00WPGJonathan Toews · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 12:49UTAMichael Carcone · High stickingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalWPG goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 17:09 — WPG 12% → 26%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.45N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.28L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.19N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.16D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.16K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.16M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.14J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.14D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.13L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.09M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.09J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.08D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.08J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.06L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.04J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.03J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.00
UTA5 G · 4.0 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsUTA
2.83 G
All situations
4 G4.0
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.62 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG35%65%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsUTA
24
Shots on goal
36
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
8
14
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-220.07020—25:50
54D. SambergD000-100.00200—23:18
55M. ScheifeleC112-120.450105521:14
81K. ConnorL112-160.92210—20:52
2D. DeMeloD000010.04212—17:57
13G. VilardiC022010.12000017:43
78J. BrysonD000-110.02220—17:04
91C. PerfettiC000-210.05020016:56
17A. LowryC000-120.260125015:54
6C. MillerD000010.05120—15:46
19J. ToewsC000-100.000226715:05
34V. HeinolaD000+120.32100—14:54
93B. LambertC000000.00102013:26
45C. KoepkeL000000.00410—12:46
62N. NiederreiterR000-100.09000—12:20
27I. RosenR101-110.11000—11:48
29B. YagerC000010.120021310:16
90N. ChibrikovR000030.19200—09:28
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)35314.8863.59-0.4159:26

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).