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Jets at Mammoth
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Final/OTTV Utah16, TSN3·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime, Clayton Keller scoring at 0:13. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 0:13 of overtime, which took the Mammoth's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 26, UTA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 0.8 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Lawson Crouse (1 G), 3. Alexander Kerfoot (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    A. Kerfoot1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG051821300326
UTAUTA27180611422

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Crouse(9)
    D. Guenther (13), B. Hayton (4)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:20
  2. UTA
    J. Peterka(14)
    C. Keller (20), N. Schmaltz (20)
    tip-inxG 0.26win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:31

2nd period

  1. UTA
    A. Kerfoot(1)
    S. Durzi (7), M. Sergachev (20)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:01
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(16)PPG
    M. Scheifele (25), G. Vilardi (15)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:18

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(17)
    J. Morrissey (24), M. Scheifele (26)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:23
  2. WPG
    M. Barron(7)
    T. Pearson (2)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +39 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:48

Overtime

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(12)
    D. Guenther (14), M. Sergachev (21)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:13

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:45WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 11:33UTANick DeSimone · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 17:50UTAJJ Peterka · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

2nd

  • 10:27UTALiam O'Brien · Interferencedrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 17:05WPGTanner Pearson · Interferencedrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

3rd

  • 8:01WPGTanner Pearson · Holdingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalWPG goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, OT 0:13 — UTA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.37J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.26D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.25D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.20L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.17B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.14C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.14D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.11D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.10J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.09D. But · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.04D. But · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.03S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02N. DeSimone · Missed · xG 0.01N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00D. But · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA4 G · 3.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsUTA
1.83 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.52 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.31 G
Power play
0 G1.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG26%74%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsUTA
26
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011020.11130—23:55
55M. ScheifeleC022010.081105023:48
81K. ConnorL202060.40000—23:03
4N. PionkD000-150.09432—22:37
54D. SambergD000010.09140—20:50
2D. DeMeloD000+100.00210—19:16
13G. VilardiC011010.240005018:33
64L. StanleyD000-110.10210—16:21
9A. IafalloL000-110.005105014:26
36M. BarronC101010.167002514:24
14G. NyquistR000-210.13000—13:23
17A. LowryC000-100.041006013:09
6C. MillerD000-240.06100—12:48
7V. NamestnikovC000000.000005012:44
70T. PearsonL011+100.00104—12:34
19J. ToewsC000-110.030106011:52
62N. NiederreiterR000-110.26000—11:12
91C. PerfettiC000000.00100009:44
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(O)22184.8183.23-0.7760:13

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).