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Mammoth at Jets
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Winnipeg Jets
2
FinalTV Utah16, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 14:24 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were UTA 32, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (2 A), 2. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G), 3. Dylan Guenther (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    M. Sergachev1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA06216110332
WPGWPG0828014230

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    D. DeMelo(1)
    J. Morrissey (6), K. Connor (7)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:45
  2. UTA
    M. Sergachev(2)PPG
    N. Schmaltz (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:03
  3. UTA
    M. Carcone(2)
    K. Yamamoto (1), N. Schmidt (2)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:07
  4. WPG
    M. Scheifele(8)PPG
    J. Morrissey (7), G. Vilardi (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:09

3rd period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(5)
    L. Cooley (4), J. Peterka (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +39 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:24

Penalties

UTA 4 PIM·WPG 10 PIM

2nd

  • 3:00WPGNikita Chibrikov · High stickingdrawn by Dmitri Simashev2 min
  • 9:20WPGNeal Pionk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:12UTAJohn Marino · Interferencedrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

3rd

  • 5:52WPGNikita Chibrikov · Roughingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 5:52UTAJJ Peterka · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Chibrikov2 min
  • 10:07WPGLuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 17:45WPGserved by G. Nyquist · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalUTA goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 3rd 14:24 — UTA 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.35C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.27G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.26K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.20A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.18G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.15A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.13G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.13M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.13G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.13J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.10G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.00A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 3.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsWPG
2.93 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA41%59%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
30
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
10
9
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
13
20
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD101-140.12010—26:09
88N. SchmidtD011+220.02020—21:34
6J. MarinoD000+220.07002—21:07
92L. CooleyC011030.440106319:51
8N. SchmaltzC011020.130005019:10
11D. GuentherR101040.53100—18:53
9C. KellerR000030.20000—18:24
26D. SimashevD000-120.02020—17:43
77J. PeterkaR011000.13002—17:40
28I. ColeD000010.02120—16:53
82K. StenlundC000+110.170102916:03
27B. HaytonC000010.280105513:55
67L. CrouseL000030.27110—13:35
56K. YamamotoR011+100.00000—12:22
2O. MaattaD000000.00020—11:36
13B. TanevL000010.07210—10:58
53M. CarconeL101+120.21100—10:13
22J. McBainC000010.183003309:57
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)30282.9333.52+1.5260:00

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).