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Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, Victory+·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Ducks scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Hunter Haight's goal at 11:24 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were ANA 37, MIN 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.6 goals below expected; Jesper Wallstedt stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Wallstedt (35 saves, .946), 2. Danila Yurov (1 G), 3. Hunter Haight (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    MIN
    D. Yurov1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    H. Haight1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA111011115237
MINMIN1611113320

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:27
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:42

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:24

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:03
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:14

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:32MINHunter Haight · Slashingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 18:20ANABeckett Sennecke · Cross checkingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 18:20MINJeff Petry · Roughingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 19:55MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min

2nd

  • 13:39ANALukas Dostal · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 7:50MINMichael McCarron · Interferencedrawn by Mason McTavish2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalANA goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Hunter Haight, 2nd 11:24 — MIN 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Haight · On goal · xG 0.46N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.28J. Wallstedt · Missed · xG 0.20D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.20H. Haight · Missed · xG 0.17R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.15D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.14R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.13N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.12H. Haight · Missed · xG 0.10H. Haight · Goal · xG 0.09B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.08B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.07D. Yurov · Goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.05M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.03B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.03N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.01D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.9 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsMIN
4.52 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
2.21 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA79%21%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.42 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsMIN
37
Shots on goal
20
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
25
7
Blocked shots
16
27
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011-130.28010—24:14
74J. CarlsonD000-110.04000—21:43
91L. CarlssonC000+160.600003121:00
64M. GranlundC011+130.501006720:53
17A. KillornL000020.38000—20:24
65J. TroubaD000-220.01010—19:22
45B. SenneckeR000+120.49102—18:33
61C. GauthierL011-140.84100—18:14
19T. TerryR000020.15000—17:54
98P. MintyukovD000-110.14110—17:44
23M. McTavishC202050.571006717:36
60T. HindsD000020.05020—15:06
25R. PoehlingC011-210.060104414:48
14D. HellesonD000000.21110—14:34
28J. VielL000000.03300—11:16
42T. WasheC000-210.044007109:48
77F. VatranoR000-110.04100—08:31
3I. MooreD000-110.05200—07:27
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)20173.8502.43-0.5756:53

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).