Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Ducks scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Hunter Haight's goal at 11:24 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were ANA 37, MIN 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.6 goals below expected; Jesper Wallstedt stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Wallstedt (35 saves, .946), 2. Danila Yurov (1 G), 3. Hunter Haight (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Wallstedt35 saves, .946

- ★★D. Yurov1 G

- ★★★H. Haight1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-010:27
1-116:42
2nd period
1-211:24
3rd period
1-313:03
2-319:14
Penalties
1st
- 9:32
Hunter Haight · Slashingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
- 18:20
Beckett Sennecke · Cross checkingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
- 18:20
Jeff Petry · Roughingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
- 19:55
Jake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
2nd
- 13:39
Lukas Dostal · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 7:50
Michael McCarron · Interferencedrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Hunter Haight, 2nd 11:24 — 53% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.52 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 2.21 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.4
- 2.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.42 – 2.39
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 16
- Hits
- 25
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 27
- Giveaways
- 10
- 4
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















