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Wild at Ducks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Anaheim Ducks
2
FinalTV FDSNNO, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yakov Trenin's goal at 14:45 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 34, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Lukas Dostal stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (4 A), 2. Beckett Sennecke (1 G), 3. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Q. Hughes4 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    B. Sennecke1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1721928534
ANAANA01011018228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(24)PPG
    J. Eriksson Ek (20), Q. Hughes (28)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:39

2nd period

  1. MIN
    D. Yurov(5)
    Y. Trenin (11), Q. Hughes (29)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:10
  2. ANA
    B. Sennecke(13)
    M. McTavish (16)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:46
  3. MIN
    Y. Trenin(3)
    Q. Hughes (30), J. Eriksson Ek (21)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:45

3rd period

  1. MIN
    D. Yurov(6)
    Q. Hughes (31), M. Zuccarello (14)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-1
    3:21
  2. MIN
    N. Sturm(3)
    M. Foligno (3), J. Brodin (10)
    snapxG 0.03Video
    5-1
    15:02
  3. ANA
    T. Terry(13)
    M. Granlund (9)
    snapxG 0.08Video
    5-2
    17:27

Penalties

MIN 2 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:29ANAAlex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

2nd

  • 0:54ANABeckett Sennecke · High stickingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 4:39ANABeckett Sennecke · Trippingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 10:19MINVinnie Hinostroza · Slashingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 19:57ANAIan Moore · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Yakov Trenin, 2nd 14:45 — MIN 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.15P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.13I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.12J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.12J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.11B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.10J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.10B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.10B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.08T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.08B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.06I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.4 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
3.95 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.54 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.41 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN73%27%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.79 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
34
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
22
18
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
22
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD044+220.19110—23:16
7B. FaberD000+150.25040—21:51
97K. KaprizovL101060.81010—20:56
12M. BoldyL000020.46000—20:30
25J. BrodinD011+130.08020—20:14
14J. Eriksson EkC022+120.171104718:42
36M. ZuccarelloR011-100.10000—18:35
46J. SpurgeonD000+110.03030—18:35
5J. MiddletonD000-100.08100—16:48
90M. JohanssonL000+120.15000—15:56
38R. HartmanR000010.090203615:53
24Z. BogosianD000000.00000—14:43
22D. YurovR202020.190003614:21
91V. TarasenkoR000030.39000—13:09
13Y. TreninC112+320.26500012:14
78N. SturmC101+110.411108011:09
18V. HinostrozaC000010.101225010:43
17M. FolignoL011+110.19110—10:25
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)28262.9292.41+0.4160:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).