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Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNOX, Victory+·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 0:55 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 28, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jesper Wallstedt stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Wallstedt (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 A), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Johansson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0801109028
MINMIN09110111230

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:55

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(10)EN
    wristxG 0.54win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:05

Penalties

ANA 14 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:40ANAMason McTavish · High stickingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 8:23ANAMason McTavish · High sticking double minordrawn by Danila Yurov4 min

2nd

  • 7:11ANAserved by Beckett Sennecke · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 2:31ANANikita Nesterenko · High sticking double minordrawn by Daemon Hunt4 min
  • 7:40MINMarcus Johansson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 10:24MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 13:22ANALeo Carlsson · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalANA goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 2nd 0:55 — MIN 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.54B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.51K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.16M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.08D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 3.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsMIN
2.30 G
All situations
1 G3.6
1.40 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA46%54%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/7
14
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
7
12
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65J. TroubaD000-130.05120—24:57
2J. LaCombeD000-220.31010—23:32
91L. CarlssonC000-120.122025821:51
17A. KillornL000010.08200—19:14
19T. TerryR000010.2200010018:56
14D. HellesonD000020.01220—18:39
20C. KreiderL000-100.0000010017:26
51O. ZellwegerD000010.02010—16:37
74I. MooreD000010.15110—15:53
45B. SenneckeR000-230.25210—15:23
98P. MintyukovD000000.04010—15:09
61C. GauthierL000-230.17000—14:36
77F. VatranoR000020.18120—13:32
23M. McTavishC000-120.270063312:17
13N. NesterenkoC000010.00404012:04
16R. StromeC000-130.380201711:31
24J. HarkinsC000010.013007108:43
44R. JohnstonL000000.00200—07:35
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)29281.9662.52+1.5258:05

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).