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Hurricanes at Islanders
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸2
New York Islanders
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Islanders 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 14:38 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.5, NYI 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 21, NYI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.6 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G), 2. Mark Jankowski (1 G), 3. Brandon Bussi (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Jankowski1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Bussi29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR170816221
NYINYI0918013130

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(26)
    F. Unger Sorum (1), L. Stankoven (23)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:05

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(31)
    M. Barzal (53), V. Eklund (1)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:14

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Jankowski(11)
    J. Nystrom (9), A. Nikishin (22)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +39 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:38

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:41CAREric Robinson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:50NYIAdam Pelech · Cross checkingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 6:19CARMike Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Emil Heineman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCAR goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 3rd 14:38 — CAR 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.32B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.23M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.16E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.15C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.14T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.13C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.11C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.10E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.05V. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.03L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.02I. George · On goal · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.02V. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01I. George · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYI
2.52 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR41%59%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
30
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
10
17
Blocked shots
7
16
Giveaways
22
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21A. NikishinD011+100.01030—23:40
6M. ReillyD000010.01022—22:10
62C. LegaultD000010.02110—22:01
4S. GostisbehereD000000.00200—19:17
48J. MartinookL000010.010105018:44
77M. JankowskiL101+110.131305617:34
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.310205617:29
29B. NadeauL000000.44000—16:40
64J. NystromD011+100.00110—15:51
76S. Brind'AmourC000-110.012005015:41
91R. SeeleyD000000.00020—15:12
27N. EhlersL101+150.24000—15:02
36F. Unger SorumR011+100.17010—14:35
50E. RobinsonL000+130.16102—14:07
53J. BlakeR000040.58000—12:58
22L. StankovenC011+120.181103812:51
44N. DeslauriersL000-100.21100—11:28
28W. CarrierL000010.00100—10:40
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)30291.9672.65+1.6560:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).