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Islanders at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Islanders 6-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Reilly's goal at 5:21 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 64% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 28, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. David Rittich stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 1.2 goals below expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Bussi (26 saves, .929), 3. Bradly Nadeau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Bussi26 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Nadeau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1150716228
CARCAR311011312634

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    B. Nadeau(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:33
  2. CAR
    M. Reilly(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.36win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:21
  3. CAR
    J. Martinook(2)
    J. Staal (1), A. Svechnikov (1)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:21
  4. NYI
    M. Schaefer(3)PPG
    K. Palmieri (4), J. Drouin (6)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:20

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(3)
    T. Hall (4), B. Bussi (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:51
  2. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(3)
    T. DeAngelo (4)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:48
  3. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(2)
    A. Nikishin (4), L. Stankoven (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    10:59
  4. CAR
    L. Stankoven(4)
    N. Ehlers (4)
    wristxG 0.19Video
    2-6
    19:49

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:58CARJackson Blake · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by David Rittich2 min
  • 12:08CARBrandon Bussi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:02NYIKyle MacLean · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
  • 16:02CARAlexander Nikishin · Roughingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min

2nd

  • 1:09NYIBo Horvat · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 3:34CARTaylor Hall · High stickingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

3rd

  • 4:14CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 10:17CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 10:17NYIBo Horvat · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Reilly, 1st 5:21 — CAR 64% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.41S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.39M. Reilly · Goal · xG 0.36S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.21L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.19S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.18S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.17J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.17M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.17J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.16L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.16A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.14T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.14J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.12J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.11J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nadeau · Goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.03J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02C. Legault · Missed · xG 0.02J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Legault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01C. Legault · On goal · xG 0.01C. Legault · Missed · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.00M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.8 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCAR
2.62 G
All situations
6 G4.8
1.61 G
Even strength
5 G3.1
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI20%80%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 4.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
34
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/4
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
12
30
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
10
19
Giveaways
24
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28A. RomanovD000+100.01220—19:40
29J. DrouinL011-210.1710010019:19
21K. PalmieriC011-120.09100019:02
14B. HorvatC000-210.510046418:57
27A. LeeL000-220.1601010018:53
48M. SchaeferD101-230.11100—18:38
51E. HeinemanL000-250.58600—18:25
11A. DuclairL000-120.18010—17:45
77T. DeAngeloD011030.08310—16:59
10S. HolmstromR101-120.46120—16:56
6R. PulockD000-400.01020—15:52
44J. PageauC000020.102306015:28
3A. PelechD000-310.02000—15:17
53C. CizikasC000-110.054005614:55
24S. MayfieldD000-100.00200—14:55
34A. BoqvistD000000.00110—11:23
7M. TsyplakovR000-210.02200—11:04
32K. MacLeanC000-210.034026310:32
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)34286.8244.76-1.2460:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).