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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN3·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 7:38 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 50% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 23, VGK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 2.3 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel (1 G, 3 A), 2. Mark Stone (1 G, 2 A), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    R. Andersson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG03010210223
VGKVGK010216412638

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(28)SHG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:38
  2. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:54

3rd period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.19win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    0:31
  2. WPG
    G. Vilardi(30)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.41win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:34
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:37
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    4:41
  5. VGK
    M. Stone (45), J. Eichel (61)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    5:42
  6. VGK
    J. Eichel(27)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.35win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    7:38

Penalties

WPG 18 PIM·VGK 14 PIM

1st

  • 5:37WPGAdam Lowry · Holdingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 18:55WPGGabriel Vilardi · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

2nd

  • 6:21VGKNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 9:06VGKShea Theodore · Interferencedrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 11:43VGKIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Chibrikov2 min
  • 11:43VGKBrayden McNabb · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Chibrikov2 min
  • 11:43WPGNikita Chibrikov · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 13:27WPGNino Niederreiter · High stickingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 14:36VGKMitch Marner · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 16:45WPGJonathan Toews · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

3rd

  • 0:44VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Brad Lambert2 min
  • 0:44VGKBrayden McNabb · Trippingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min
  • 0:44WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 5:05WPGMark Scheifele · High sticking double minordrawn by Rasmus Andersson4 min
  • 10:10WPGDylan Samberg · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 2nd 7:38 — VGK 50% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.35C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.22I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.19M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.19M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.15S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.15R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.11R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.11P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.10N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 3.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
2.22 G
All situations
6 G3.7
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.71 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG26%74%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
23
Shots on goal
38
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/5
Power play
2/7
18
Penalty minutes
14
16
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-230.07210—26:40
2D. DeMeloD000-100.02110—23:36
81K. ConnorL011-230.23110—21:25
55M. ScheifeleC112-120.240044221:02
54D. SambergD000+120.03102—18:47
13G. VilardiC112-120.58002017:52
19J. ToewsC000-200.090028317:28
6C. MillerD011020.04310—16:11
45C. KoepkeL000010.16220—16:06
17A. LowryC000-100.000345616:00
78J. BrysonD000-120.03020—13:21
24H. FleuryD000-200.06200—12:45
27I. RosenR000020.18000—12:29
91C. PerfettiC000000.00110012:23
62N. NiederreiterR000-110.04102—12:22
93B. LambertC000010.1900010011:08
29B. YagerC000-110.020001710:25
90N. ChibrikovR000-110.23202—07:27
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)38326.8423.70-2.3060:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).