Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime, Tomas Hertl scoring at 4:47. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 4:47 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were VGK 31, WPG 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.1 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Schenn (1 G), 2. Brett Howden (1 G), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-15:16
2nd period
0-212:04
1-219:09
3rd period
2-28:13
2-314:56
3-315:55
Overtime
4-34:47
Penalties
1st
- 0:16
Jonathan Toews · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
- 13:17
Adam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar5 min
- 13:17
Keegan Kolesar · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
2nd
- 5:31
Mark Stone · Slashingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
- 18:57
Dylan Samberg · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
3rd
- 10:23
Zach Whitecloud · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
- 11:17
Josh Morrissey · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
OT
- 4:09
Dylan Samberg · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tomas Hertl, OT 4:47 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.94 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.9
- 2.52 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.6
- 0.42 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 1.87
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 27
- Hits
- 25
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 13
- Giveaways
- 14
- 5
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















