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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 2:08 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.3, WPG 3.2; shots on goal were VGK 27, WPG 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.1 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0131806127
WPGWPG152917421

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:25

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:08
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:06
  3. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:29

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.90Video
    1-4
    18:42

Penalties

VGK 13 PIM·WPG 13 PIM

1st

  • 8:46VGKNic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Brad Lambert2 min

2nd

  • 8:54WPGAlex Iafallo · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 11:49WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 13:07VGKColton Sissons · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min
  • 15:28VGKNoah Hanifin · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 19:01WPGMark Scheifele · Fightingdrawn by Brett Howden5 min
  • 19:01VGKBrett Howden · Fightingdrawn by Mark Scheifele5 min

3rd

  • 10:45VGKCole Smith · Holdingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 12:56WPGElias Salomonsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 15:42WPGDylan Samberg · High stickingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Iafallo, 2nd 2:08 — WPG 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.90N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.36K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.17K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.15C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.15B. Lambert · On goal · xG 0.14M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.14C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.12G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05E. Salomonsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01I. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01E. Salomonsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 3.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
3.31 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
2.11 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK72%28%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
21
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
11
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. EichelC000040.330004022:37
61M. StoneR000-120.86000—21:57
93M. MarnerR000-130.280003321:29
15N. HanifinD000-200.09052—20:43
4R. AnderssonD101-120.21010—19:35
5J. LauzonD000030.03300—19:24
27S. TheodoreD000-200.05000—19:19
16P. DorofeyevR000-150.70100—17:30
49I. BarbashevL011-220.21100—16:55
3B. McNabbD000-200.00120—16:46
6K. KorczakD000-100.00020—15:07
10C. SissonsC000-100.001128014:22
48T. HertlC000-130.260006514:12
19R. SmithR000-220.17000—12:54
21B. HowdenC011-200.002055012:21
26N. DowdC000-100.000122010:56
22C. SmithR000000.00102—10:45
55K. KolesarR000-110.11120—08:08
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(L)20173.8501.92-1.0857:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).