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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
▸3
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Nashville Predators 3-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Macklin Celebrini's goal at 3:04 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals were close — SJS 3.3, NSH 3.2; shots on goal were SJS 23, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Justus Annunen stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (26 saves, .929), 2. Macklin Celebrini (2 G), 3. Luke Evangelista (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    A. Nedeljkovic26 saves, .929
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0111527323
NSHNSH0609213228

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    I. Chernyshov(8)PPG
    W. Eklund (36), M. Misa (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:53

3rd period

  1. SJS
    M. Celebrini(43)
    I. Chernyshov (10), W. Smith (34)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:04
  2. NSH
    L. Evangelista(11)
    N. Perbix (10), R. Ufko (6)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:39
  3. SJS
    M. Celebrini(44)EN
    C. Graf (25), A. Wennberg (37)
    wristxG 0.74win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:15
  4. NSH
    L. Evangelista(12)
    R. Ufko (7), R. Josi (42)
    deflectedxG 0.28win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:50

Penalties

SJS 2 PIM·NSH 2 PIM

2nd

  • 7:54NSHSteven Stamkos · Boardingdrawn by Shakir Mukhamadullin2 min

3rd

  • 3:51SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Macklin Celebrini, 3rd 3:04 — SJS 74% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.28S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.25S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.23R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.20R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.19R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.18S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.15L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.02R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kemell · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ufko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ufko · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ufko · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 3.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
3.32 G
All situations
2 G3.2
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS40%60%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
23
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000010.05422—22:42
85S. MukhamadullinD000-110.03110—20:59
21A. WennbergC011000.010204720:54
9D. OrlovD000-120.20020—20:03
5V. DesharnaisD000+200.01300—19:56
6S. DickinsonD000-100.04110—19:45
71M. CelebriniC202+221.001003319:34
72W. EklundL011-210.0020010016:57
44K. SherwoodL000-130.27400—16:33
51C. GrafR011+110.37100—16:30
2W. SmithC011+120.1000010016:28
92I. ChernyshovL112+130.24110—15:02
42L. CagnoniD000+110.34220—14:53
63Z. OstapchukC000-110.092008612:01
73T. ToffoliC000010.22000011:55
23B. GoodrowC000-110.04420011:40
81A. GaudetteR000020.102005011:17
77M. MisaC011010.190105010:58
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic(W)28262.9293.20+1.2059:53

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).