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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
3
Nashville Predators
▸6
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 11:40 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 30, NSH 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 13 of 19 (.684), 3.9 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 2 A), 2. Brady Skjei (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    B. Skjei1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Marchessault3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS15115110330
NSHNSH591604619

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(33)
    F. Svechkov (11), J. Marchessault (15)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:34
  2. SJS
    A. Gaudette(15)
    S. Mukhamadullin (7), M. Ferraro (14)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:25
  3. NSH
    M. Wood(16)
    J. Marchessault (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:49
  4. NSH
    R. Josi(12)
    F. Forsberg (31)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:40
  5. NSH
    L. Evangelista(10)
    R. O'Reilly (41), B. Skjei (21)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:26
  6. NSH
    B. Skjei(2)
    R. O'Reilly (42)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-5
    16:36

2nd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(35)PPG
    F. Forsberg (32), J. Marchessault (17)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    12:38
  2. SJS
    W. Smith(20)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    17:26

3rd period

  1. SJS
    W. Smith(21)
    I. Chernyshov (9), V. Desharnais (5)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-6
    1:40

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:44SJSKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min

2nd

  • 11:24SJSIgor Chernyshov · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 14:14NSHFedor Svechkov · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 16:14NSHErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 16:49NSHRyan O'Reilly · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 11:16NSHZachary L'Heureux · Trippingdrawn by Shakir Mukhamadullin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, 1st 11:40 — NSH 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kemell · On goal · xG 0.21S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.19T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.19L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.15L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.12R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kemell · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH6 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
2.73 G
All situations
6 G2.1
1.62 G
Even strength
5 G1.7
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS59%41%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
30
Shots on goal
19
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
16
16
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD000-220.08400—23:09
38M. FerraroD011-110.02000—22:20
71M. CelebriniC000-230.250003921:05
2W. SmithC202060.76000020:31
3J. KlingbergD000-210.30210—19:07
21A. WennbergC000010.221305018:54
85S. MukhamadullinD011020.07200—17:47
72W. EklundL000010.0601010017:02
5V. DesharnaisD011010.01510—16:57
92I. ChernyshovL011-110.13102—16:00
44K. SherwoodL000-310.03402—15:36
77M. MisaC000-210.020004015:03
6S. DickinsonD000-120.01000—14:15
51C. GrafR000010.40010—13:58
84P. RegendaL000-320.023005013:44
63Z. OstapchukC000+110.193108811:06
23B. GoodrowC000+110.01210010:58
81A. GaudetteR101020.101106709:14
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic(L)19136.6842.14-3.8660:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).