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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
St. Louis Blues
▸6
FinalTV FDSNMW, FDSNNO·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 6-3. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Blues led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Theo Lindstein's goal at 16:41 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were MIN 31, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 1.8 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Colton Parayko (1 G), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G), 3. Jake Neighbours (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Parayko1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Neighbours1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2141809331
STLSTL173728622

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    C. Parayko(4)
    R. Thomas (37), J. Snuggerud (27)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:22
  2. MIN
    N. Foligno(4)
    Y. Trenin (17), D. Hunt (6)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:46
  3. MIN
    D. Yurov(11)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (23), M. Johansson (33)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:13

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. McCarron(8)SHG
    N. Foligno (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:59
  2. STL
    O. Stenberg(3)
    T. Tucker (14), A. Toropchenko (6)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:04
  3. STL
    P. Buchnevich(18)
    J. Kyrou (26), C. Fowler (25)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:31
  4. STL
    T. Lindstein(2)
    J. Drouin (19), D. Dvorsky (9)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:41

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(15)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.24win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    3:05
  2. STL
    J. Snuggerud(19)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.66win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    16:56

Penalties

MIN 13 PIM·STL 15 PIM

1st

  • 5:51MINRobby Fabbri · Hookingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 12:37STLserved by Dalibor Dvorsky · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:00STLColton Parayko · Boardingdrawn by Danila Yurov2 min
  • 18:00STLColton Parayko · Fightingdrawn by Yakov Trenin5 min
  • 18:00MINYakov Trenin · Fightingdrawn by Colton Parayko5 min

2nd

  • 1:30MINHunter Haight · Trippingdrawn by Dalibor Dvorsky2 min
  • 5:45MINNico Sturm · Hookingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 12:54STLJimmy Snuggerud · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:54STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 4:17MINDanila Yurov · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 11:06STLDylan Holloway · Trippingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Theo Lindstein, 2nd 16:41 — STL 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Snuggerud · Goal · xG 0.66J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.33J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.24O. Stenberg · Goal · xG 0.22T. Lindstein · Missed · xG 0.21R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.21P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.18T. Lindstein · Goal · xG 0.15O. Stenberg · On goal · xG 0.14D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.12P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.11D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.09D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.09T. Lindstein · On goal · xG 0.07O. Stenberg · Missed · xG 0.07O. Stenberg · Missed · xG 0.07D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.07P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.06L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04T. Lindstein · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lindstein · Missed · xG 0.01P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 3.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
3.23 G
All situations
5 G3.8
2.01 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
1.01 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN50%50%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
22
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/5
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
15
23
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
6
15
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6V. Gustafsson-NybergD000-100.00100—21:57
91V. TarasenkoR011-220.53000—19:37
90M. JohanssonL011-320.11000—19:34
26M. KierstedD000-100.00000—19:15
22D. YurovR101-220.271022518:53
46J. SpurgeonD000-220.03110—18:35
48D. HuntD011+130.18110—18:21
10B. BrinkR000-320.2430010018:06
47M. McCarronC101030.252004618:01
71N. FolignoL112+120.260005717:17
2J. PetryD000-120.06230—16:42
13Y. TreninC011-120.21405016:28
5J. MiddletonD000-320.19030—14:51
37H. HaightC000-230.321023814:40
78N. SturmC000020.22302011:13
21R. FabbriC000-110.27002010:23
39B. JonesC000-110.013005710:06
16N. Aube-KubelR000-100.03100—09:12
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)21165.7623.17-1.8358:49

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).