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Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 5-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 17:30 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 21, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Gustavsson (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Ryan Hartman (2 G), 3. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN272519521
STLSTL0801404026

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:54
  2. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:30

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.33win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    12:27
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.08win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    17:36

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.40Video
    5-0
    7:27

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:34STLJustin Faulk · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 9:00STLMathieu Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

2nd

  • 3:50MINDavid Jiricek · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 6:50MINVinnie Hinostroza · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min
  • 12:19STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 1st 17:30 — MIN 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.25J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.21P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.21D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.18T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.14J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.14B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.10D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.09P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.06J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.05P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.04D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.00
STL0 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
2.15 G
All situations
0 G2.7
1.74 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN39%61%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
21
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
40
16
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000+120.06120—23:10
5J. MiddletonD000+110.01220—21:46
46J. SpurgeonD000000.00120—20:22
8Z. BuiumD000010.02110—20:10
38R. HartmanR202+240.230007117:52
14J. Eriksson EkC101030.352004117:40
13Y. TreninC011+210.19400017:19
12M. BoldyL123+210.15010—16:54
23M. RossiC112+220.530106316:28
97K. KaprizovL033+200.28110—16:23
24Z. BogosianD000+300.00110—16:11
90M. JohanssonL011+220.19100—15:54
91V. TarasenkoR000010.01000—15:42
17M. FolignoL000020.01140—14:44
55D.JiricekD000+310.02002—14:01
28L. OhgrenL000000.00110—10:31
43H. HaightC000000.002006310:27
18V. HinostrozaC000000.06102010:26
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)262601.0002.71+2.7160:00

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).