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New York Rangers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV MSG, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Reinhardt's goal at 18:10 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 27, FLA 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.5 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Reinhardt (2 G), 2. Daniil Tarasov (25 saves, .926), 3. Jonathan Quick (13 saves, .813).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Reinhardt2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    D. Tarasov25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Quick13 saves, .813

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1716014227
FLAFLA270613316

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.33win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:35
  2. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:31
  3. NYR
    N. Laba (15)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:19

2nd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.31win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:20

3rd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +44 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:10

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:58FLAserved by C. Reinhardt · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 4:02NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Wilmer Skoog2 min

2nd

  • 2:01FLAWilmer Skoog · Trippingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 14:48FLALuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 14:48NYRTye Kartye · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

3rd

  • 13:49FLAWilmer Skoog · Closing hand on puck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Reinhardt, 3rd 18:10 — FLA 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Skoog · Missed · xG 0.44J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.38C. Reinhardt · Goal · xG 0.33M. Samoskevich · Goal · xG 0.18A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.15C. Reinhardt · Goal · xG 0.10J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.09N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.06N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bjornfot · Missed · xG 0.05A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.05J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.04W. Skoog · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sebrango · On goal · xG 0.03W. Skoog · Missed · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.03C. Schwindt · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.02M. Alscher · Missed · xG 0.02L. Jansson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Alscher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Alscher · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01C. Schwindt · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sebrango · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.3 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsFLA
3.82 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR84%16%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.68 – 1.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsFLA
27
Shots on goal
16
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011030.37000—28:10
13A. LafrenièreL011010.26000—22:10
93M. ZibanejadC000020.643007721:26
44V. GavrikovD000+140.18010—21:13
8J. MillerC000-120.482207520:13
16V. TrocheckC000040.610105319:45
17W. BorgenD000000.00200—17:35
29M. RobertsonD101010.03200—17:05
94G. PerreaultR101030.53110—16:36
50W. CuylleL000000.17712—15:32
4B. SchneiderD000-200.01020—15:28
22J. BrodzinskiC000030.20200013:29
45D. FortescueD000-100.00000—13:02
24T. KartyeL000-110.15302—12:35
43C. ShearyL000-100.00020—11:50
42N. LabaC011020.111006011:04
49J. ChmelarR000000.00220—10:33
38A. SykoraL000010.03320—09:57
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)16133.8131.53-1.4758:17

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).