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New York Rangers at Florida Panthers

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 16:13 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.9, FLA 3.0; shots on goal were NYR 20, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (3 G, 2 A), 2. Artemi Panarin (2 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR261628520
FLAFLA010015112137

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:09
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:13

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.20win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:58

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:20
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:25
  3. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49Video
    5-1
    18:32

Penalties

NYR 12 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:40NYRTaylor Raddysh · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 11:04NYRVincent Trocheck · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:29FLAJack Studnicka · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:52FLAAaron Ekblad · Illegal check to headdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 2:25NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Hookingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 1:39NYRJonny Brodzinski · Trippingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 8:09NYRMatthew Robertson · Delaying game2 min
  • 11:21FLAUvis Balinskis · Hookingdrawn by Matt Rempe2 min
  • 16:38NYRCarson Soucy · Interferencedrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, 1st 16:13 — NYR 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.22S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.13A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.12A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.08U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.06M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 3.0 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsFLA
2.94 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.42 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR30%70%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsFLA
20
Shots on goal
37
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/3
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
38
27
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. ZibanejadC325+361.550007722:06
29M. RobertsonD000000.00222—21:50
4B. SchneiderD000020.02140—21:48
44V. GavrikovD000+200.00252—20:55
16V. TrocheckC022+110.451025420:30
23A. FoxD000+210.01030—18:45
17W. BorgenD000+100.00020—18:33
13A. LafrenièreL033+220.20010—18:31
10A. PanarinL213+250.26000—18:29
50W. CuylleL000020.1740010017:48
24C. SoucyD000000.01132—14:29
39S. CarrickC000000.005105614:27
14T. RaddyshR000+100.02212—14:15
94G. PerreaultR000010.07020—12:23
22J. BrodzinskiC000000.050325011:56
73M. RempeC000000.00100008:02
65B. BerardL000000.04000—07:27
37J. DowlingC000000.02100007:05
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)37361.9732.99+1.9960:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).